Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Fractured Fairytale?

800px-Flickr_Obama_Springfield_01
A new twist on Camelot -- Picture courtesy of Wikipedia

by blogSpotter
As I write this on Super Tuesday evening, we are getting some strange results. Everyone thought that McCain would clean up, and that Hillary/Obama might get closer while still having 'Advantage Hillary'. That's not what we have...

The GOP is truly fractured -- a puzzle in two or three parts. The puzzle pieces seem to even have geographic associations. McCain has the East and Northeast. Romney has part of the West and Huckabee has claimed the South. Rather than be a clincher for McCain, the GOP is developing competing power centers and there will be way more punches thrown than anyone thought. GOP conventions usually have the excitement of a Methodist wedding reception -- coffee, doughnuts and platitudes on the house. This year there may be some people toking on cigars in the back room, cutting deals. The GOP convention may have more resemblance to an Irish keg party this time around.

The Democrats are also getting further from, not closer to -- a final resolution. Hillary has held much of her ground, but Obama has picked up some southern (Alabama) and Midwest (Kansas, Idaho) states that weren't even in scope before tonight. The Democrats may have more fomentation than we thought -- no forgone conclusions here.

Sometimes a candidacy is passed along like some kind of birthright or unwritten mandate. This will be a year where that isn't the case for either party. It's not really such a fluke considering that both parties have suffered from ideological drift and they need some clarification. No candidate, not even the photogenic Obama, is getting a fairytale send-off. All will have to stand ground, debate and deliver the message. I look forward to at least 10 rounds.

© 2008 blogSpotter

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